With just a few days left in 2025, emerging markets remain the focus of investors’ attention, who see significant economic potential in these subregions.

Focus Economics analysts have studied the situation in each group of countries, identifying some of the trends that will characterize them, at least at the beginning of 2026.

• Asia-Pacific: the region will remain one of the fastest growing economically, driven by sectors such as tourism, information technology and electronics, as well as business-friendly policies, high levels of education, and still robust population growth.
• Latin America: It is likely to remain the slowest-growing emerging market next year, due in part to its relatively high GDP per capita. This “reduces the scope for rapid convergence growth.” Political instability, weak education systems, corruption, violence, and a limited presence in high-growth sectors will persist in the region.
• Sub-Saharan Africa: This market is projected to surpass Asia-Pacific as the fastest-growing region globally, with sustained growth of 4.1 %. It will be marked by the world’s fastest population growth rate. As a result, annual growth is expected to reach 2.4 % by 2026, impacting regional output per capita.
• Middle East and North Africa: The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) axis will experience rapid expansion in 2026, driven by increased OPEC oil production quotas.
• Eastern Europe and Central Asia: According to analysts, this will be the second slowest-growing emerging market region in 2026, similar to Latin America, due in part to the fact that “many Eastern European economies — especially those belonging to the EU — are converging or have already converged toward GDP per capita levels of developed economies, leaving less room for convergence growth.” Furthermore, more moderate oil and gas prices compared to 2025 could become a drawback by limiting public spending in energy-exporting countries.

M.Pino

Source: focuseconomics

(Reference image source: Kyle Glenn on Unsplash)

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On January 1, the world’s population will reach 8,019,876,189, according to Forbes, with an increase of 1%, equivalent to 75 million more people from early 2023. Although overall growth is steady, it remains at a slow pace.

Global growth in 2023 stood at 0.95%, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Estimates for the beginning of 2024 predict 4.3 births and 2 deaths per second worldwide.

In November 2022, the UN estimated the world population at 8 billion, 11 years after reaching 7 billion. The discrepancy with U.S. Census Bureau figures is attributed to the lack of census counting and accurate registration systems in some countries.

With declining fertility rates and proportionally fewer young people, it is estimated that the world population will take more than 14 years to reach 9 billion and another 16.4 years to reach 10 billion.

In the last year, the growth rate of the United States was 0.53%, half the global rate. The population is projected to reach 335,893,238 on 1 January, an increase of 1,759,535 since early 2023 and 4,443,957 since the last census in April 2020.

If the current pace persists, the 2020s could be the slowest growth decade in U.S. history, with a rate of less than 4%, according to William Frey, a Brookings Institution demographer quoted by AP News. The slowest decade of growth followed the Great Depression of the 1930s, with a rate of 7.3%.

Although a slight rebound is expected after the pandemic, Frey notes that reaching 7.3% would be challenging.

In 2024, one birth every nine seconds and one death every 9.5 seconds in the U.S. However, immigration will prevent a population decline, adding one person every 28.3 seconds.

The combination of births, deaths, and net international migration will increase the U.S. population by one person every 24.2 seconds.

K. Tovar

Source: Bancaynegocios

(Reference image source: Joseph Chan, Unsplash)

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