The German government admitted that GDP will only grow by 0.50 % this year, half of what was expected. Possible causes include stagnant exports and a lack of private investment.

The country had a growth forecast of 1%, but this has been overshadowed by external geopolitical conflicts. This was stated by Minister Katherina Reiche during the presentation of her data in Berlin, emphasizing that the war in Iran has led to an increase in energy and raw material prices. “This will place a burden on private households and increase costs for the German economy as a whole,” the minister noted.

For 2027, German GDP is estimated to grow by only 0.9 %, not 1.3 % as previously expected, “in a context of a general weakening economy compounded by an upward revision of the government’s inflation forecast.”

The trend will be upward; consumer prices are expected to rise by 2.7 % this year and 2.8 % next year. “Inflation is primarily limiting private households, which are projected to increase their consumer spending by only 0.4 % after 2026 and 0.5 % in 2027, a significant reason for the weak growth outlook,” Reiche added.

The current scenario in Germany is characterized by a decline in foreign trade, stagnant exports, and a loss of industrial capacity in the face of international competition.

Regarding public consumption, an increase of 2 % is projected for 2026 and 1.3 % next year. “The expansion of energy price subsidies is also contributing to this. At the same time, government demand is driving investment: investment in equipment is projected to increase by 1.1 % this year and 4.4 % next year.”

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Source: abc.es

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The National Association of Financial Institutions of Colombia recently presented a report reflecting an increase in the gross debt of the Central National Government (CNG) of $1.194 trillion (64.4% of GDP), a figure that represents the highest level in 27 years.

The organization indicated that “the increase is due to the debt management operations carried out in 2025.” The report reflects that of this total, “domestic debt represented 45.3% of GDP – the highest level in the last 27 years – while external debt reached 19.1% of GDP.” Regarding net debt, which excludes financial assets, it closed 2025 at 58.5% of GDP, “below the 61.3% projected by the Government in the 2025 Medium-Term Fiscal Framework.”

The ANIF report reveals an imbalance between government revenues and expenditures. In 2026, “the highest cash balance was recorded in mid-January (19 trillion pesos) after the direct placement of bonds to PIMCO for 23 trillion pesos, equivalent to approximately 35 % of the total auction placements for 2025. Currently, the balance stands at 6.6 trillion pesos, 68 % lower than the historical average.”

The association’s researchers indicate that the current amounts would only cover five days of operating expenses and debt payments. Consequently, the government urgently needs new and more frequent financing, although it faces demands for higher returns as payment for providing that financing.

“The increase in borrowing costs reflects the greater perception of risk regarding Colombia,” ANIF points out, adding that “Colombia’s medium-term sovereign risk exceeds that of countries with similar credit ratings.”

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The Venezuelan Confederation of Industries (Conindustria) recently indicated that the country’s growth this year could exceed 12 % despite certain obstacles that are slowing the economy’s momentum.

The organization referred to the “excessive” taxes, the exchange rate gap, and the lack of available foreign currency and financing as obstacles to growth. However, he highlighted that “Venezuela’s private manufacturing output increased by 5.4 % last year compared to 2024, and the industrial sector projects 12.7 % growth by 2026.”

Furthermore, production in the country increased by 6.8 % in the first quarter; 0.1 % in the second; 5.2 % in the third; and 9.5 % in the fourth quarter of last year.

Tito López, president of Conindustria, indicated that the figures obtained so far demonstrate that Venezuelan industry remains strong, “investing, producing, and generating employment.”

Regarding the investment needed to revitalize the country’s industry, López stated that $3.4 billion is required.

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Source: notitarde

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La entrada Conindustria estimates growth exceeding 12 % in Venezuela apareció primero en Bitfinance.

During a meeting held on Monday, January 19, with the “Mining and Basic Industries Engine,” Venezuela’s interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, announced a plan aimed at increasing gold production.

The official referred to mining as an “important pillar in the growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).” The plan would also be geared towards increasing the production of “iron, bauxite, and other strategic minerals for Venezuela’s industrial development and for generating foreign exchange for the country.”

At the meeting, the acting president highlighted Venezuela’s “joint effort and coordinated work to achieve economic recovery and stability.”

Rodríguez stated that this support for the mining sector is part of a comprehensive strategy for diversifying the economy by “strengthening the production of strategic minerals that contribute to the country’s industrial development and financial stability.”

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In its recent projections for 2026, the World Bank indicated that Bolivia could experience a 1.1 % contraction in its GDP.

According to the international institution, the nation could experience the steepest decline in Latin America, due in part to factors that have persisted over time, such as the dollar shortage and the decline in the hydrocarbons sector.

In its World Economic Outlook 2026 report, the World Bank also anticipates “a greater deterioration by 2027, when the Bolivian economy could contract by 1.5 percent.”

Regarding the outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean, the World Bank projects average growth of 2.3 % this year and 2.6 % in 2027, as trade flows normalize and domestic demand improves.

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Source: xinhuanet

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The European statistical agency, Eurostat, published data on the eurozone’s economic growth in the third quarter of the year, placing it at 0.3 percent.

“Compared to the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP increased by 1.4 % in the euro area and 1.6 % in the EU in the third quarter of 2025, following +1.6% in the euro area and +1.7 % in the EU in the previous quarter,” the agency stated.

The GDP increase for the major countries is broken down as follows: “Denmark (+2.3 %) recorded the largest increase in GDP compared to the previous quarter, followed by Luxembourg and Sweden (both +1.1 %). Declines were observed in Ireland and Finland (both -0.3 %) and Romania (-0.2 %). In the case of Spain, it grew by 0.6 %.”

Regarding household final consumption expenditure, the index increased by 0.2 % in both the euro area and the European Union. Government final consumption expenditure grew by 0.7 % in both the euro area and the EU.

There was also an increase of 0.9 % in gross fixed capital formation in the euro area and 1.1 % in the EU.

Exports increased by 0.7 % and 0.9 % in the euro area and the EU, respectively. Imports increased by 1.3 % in both regions.

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La entrada Eurozone economy grows 0.3 % in the third quarter apareció primero en Bitfinance.

With just a few days left in 2025, emerging markets remain the focus of investors’ attention, who see significant economic potential in these subregions.

Focus Economics analysts have studied the situation in each group of countries, identifying some of the trends that will characterize them, at least at the beginning of 2026.

• Asia-Pacific: the region will remain one of the fastest growing economically, driven by sectors such as tourism, information technology and electronics, as well as business-friendly policies, high levels of education, and still robust population growth.
• Latin America: It is likely to remain the slowest-growing emerging market next year, due in part to its relatively high GDP per capita. This “reduces the scope for rapid convergence growth.” Political instability, weak education systems, corruption, violence, and a limited presence in high-growth sectors will persist in the region.
• Sub-Saharan Africa: This market is projected to surpass Asia-Pacific as the fastest-growing region globally, with sustained growth of 4.1 %. It will be marked by the world’s fastest population growth rate. As a result, annual growth is expected to reach 2.4 % by 2026, impacting regional output per capita.
• Middle East and North Africa: The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) axis will experience rapid expansion in 2026, driven by increased OPEC oil production quotas.
• Eastern Europe and Central Asia: According to analysts, this will be the second slowest-growing emerging market region in 2026, similar to Latin America, due in part to the fact that “many Eastern European economies — especially those belonging to the EU — are converging or have already converged toward GDP per capita levels of developed economies, leaving less room for convergence growth.” Furthermore, more moderate oil and gas prices compared to 2025 could become a drawback by limiting public spending in energy-exporting countries.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin’s estimate for Gross Domestic Product growth by the end of 2025 is 1 %, compared to 4.1 % in 2024.

According to the Russian leader, the nation’s inflation will remain stable, not exceeding 6 %, which is within the national plan.

Putin stated this in a live televised address, adding: “The conditions and opportunities have now been created to begin gradually increasing economic activity. This will be achieved while maintaining low unemployment and, of course, controlled inflation, which, according to the Central Bank of Russia’s forecasts for next year, will be between 4 % and 5 %.”

Putin emphasized that they already have a plan for profound economic reforms by 2030, estimating that by the end of 2026 they will achieve a national economic growth rate no lower than the global average.

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During a meeting with the Council of Vice Ministers of Hydrocarbons and the president of PDVSA, Héctor Obregón, Venezuelan Vice President Delcy Rodríguez stated that the hydrocarbons sector contributes 17 % of the national GDP.

Rodríguez emphasized that the national energy sector has shown sustained growth throughout 2025 and added that “the hydrocarbons sector has driven the creation of new companies linked to the oil, gas, and fuel supply chain.”

According to the official, this upswing is the result of “national alliances and international investments that have strengthened production,” allowing the country to raise operational levels and improve the efficiency of the energy system.

The meeting also provided an opportunity to review the progress achieved so far this year, as well as plans to reinforce the industry, where energy plays a strategic role.

Rodríguez stated that “the growth of the hydrocarbons sector will allow for greater economic development and new opportunities for companies in the area.”

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La entrada Hydrocarbons sector contributes 17 % of Venezuela’s GDP apareció primero en Bitfinance.

Nicolás Maduro, President of Venezuela, indicated last week that the country could close out 2025 with a 9 % GDP growth rate.

The president’s projection is based on the expansion the nation registered during the second quarter of this year, which stood at 6.65 %.

Maduro stated: “I hope that the remaining quarters will consolidate at least 9 % GDP growth, with full supply from domestic production, job creation, and the emergence of entrepreneurship.”

The president of the South American nation emphasized that the economic recovery of the previous quarters was due to the activation of “virtuous cycles within the national economy” and added that “sectors such as commerce, services, tourism, and construction have been the main drivers of this trend.”

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